FrontierFinance: the tools around an AI analyst matter as much as the model
FrontierFinance, released in August 2026 by Samaya AI, grades AI agents on long-form investment research. Its most useful finding is not who won. It is how much the same model's score changes when you give it better tools.
Benchmarks that test AI on finance usually ask for a number pulled from a filing. FrontierFinance, posted to arXiv on August 12, 2026 by researchers at Samaya AI, asks for something closer to a real analyst's deliverable: structured research reports across six stages of the investor workflow, from data extraction to screening for new ideas and sector and macro analysis.
How it is built
The benchmark has 220 queries written and audited by finance professionals, including former buy-side analysts, sell-side research associates and investment bankers. Each query comes with a long list of yes-or-no grading criteria, 11,543 in total, and each criterion is tied to a public data source. SEC filings are the largest source category at 39% of all rubrics (share of the 11,543 rubrics; no interval applies). Context: n=11,543 rubrics · FrontierFinance public set · Samaya AI, arXiv:2608.11683 · margin: not applicable
A sample query: provide a breakdown of BP's upstream, downstream, and integrated gas and renewables segments' operating metrics over the past six years, as of October 9, 2025.
Answers are scored by majority vote of three AI judges (GPT 5.4, Gemini 3.1 Pro and Claude Sonnet 4.6). The headline metric is the share of rubrics an answer satisfies, averaged across queries.
The scoreboard
Systems were tested in three setups: models with their own built-in web search, models inside the open-source harness from the Vals AI Finance Agent v2 benchmark (with finance tools such as SEC search), and Samaya's in-house system.
| System | Setup | Score | Cost per query |
|---|---|---|---|
| Samaya (high effort) | Vendor's in-house harness | 56.0% | $1.81 |
| Samaya | Vendor's in-house harness | 52.9% | $0.93 |
| Claude Fable 5 | Finance Agent v2 harness | 49.2% | $4.06 |
| GPT 5.6 Sol | Finance Agent v2 harness | 46.8% | $3.03 |
| Kimi K3 | Finance Agent v2 harness | 46.4% | $0.90 |
| Gemini 3.6 Flash | Finance Agent v2 harness | 46.3% | $2.41 |
| Claude Opus 4.8 | Finance Agent v2 harness | 45.0% | $2.61 |
| GPT 5.5 | Finance Agent v2 harness | 43.5% | $2.80 |
| GLM 5.2 | Finance Agent v2 harness | 42.8% | $0.63 |
| DeepSeek V4 Pro | Finance Agent v2 harness | 40.5% | $0.68 |
| Claude Opus 4.8 | Built-in web search | 33.0% | $1.47 |
| Gemini 3.1 Pro | Built-in web search | 30.7% | not estimated |
| GPT 5.5 | Built-in web search | 20.7% | $0.55 |
Read this first: who made the test
The top two rows belong to Samaya AI, the company that built and published the benchmark. The paper says so openly and describes its system as included to show how a highly optimized finance harness performs. That does not make the result wrong, and the dataset and grading code are public so others can check it. But a vendor leading its own benchmark is a reason to wait for independent runs before treating the top line as settled.
The real finding: same model, different tools
The most useful comparison does not involve Samaya at all. Look at the same models in two setups:
- GPT 5.5 scored 20.7% with its built-in web search and 43.5% inside the Finance Agent v2 harness, more than double. Context: n=220 queries, 11,543 rubrics · paper posted Aug 12, 2026 · Samaya AI, arXiv:2608.11683, Table 4 · margin: not disclosed
- Claude Opus 4.8 went from 33.0% to 45.0%. Context: n=220 queries, 11,543 rubrics · paper posted Aug 12, 2026 · Samaya AI, arXiv:2608.11683, Table 4 · margin: not disclosed
- Gemini 3.1 Pro stayed nearly flat, from 30.7% to 30.5%. Context: n=220 queries, 11,543 rubrics · paper posted Aug 12, 2026 · Samaya AI, arXiv:2608.11683, Table 4 · margin: not disclosed
The authors' conclusion is that the tool harness, not the model alone, strongly shapes quality and cost. For anyone choosing an AI research tool, that means a model's name on a product page says less than how the product feeds it data.
Open models are close, and cheaper
Kimi K3, an open-weight model, scored 46.4%, 0.4 points behind GPT 5.6 Sol and 2.8 points behind Claude Fable 5, at $0.90 per query against $3.03 and $4.06. GLM 5.2 delivered 42.8% at $0.63. The authors report that open models reached parity with older proprietary models within about two months of release. Paying more buys something, but not much: Claude Fable 5 scored a relative 9% higher than Claude Opus 4.8 at 56% more cost. Context: n=220 queries, 11,543 rubrics · paper posted Aug 12, 2026 · Samaya AI, arXiv:2608.11683, Table 4 · margin: not disclosed
Where every system fails
Two use cases remain largely unsolved: Screening and Discovery, where the best system reached 33%, and Sector, Industry and Macro, where the best reached 39% (per-use-case query counts not restated in the abstract; no interval disclosed). These are the open-ended tasks, such as finding companies that fit a theme, closest to how traders actually use AI for idea generation. Context: n: per-use-case query counts not stated (220 total) · paper Aug 12, 2026 · arXiv:2608.11683 · margin: not disclosed
The authors also found a failure pattern worth knowing. Models often tried to visit web addresses from memory instead of searching for them, and those remembered URLs had much higher error rates, because some were hallucinated or blocked. That wasted time and polluted the model's context with errors.
Limits the authors state
Each query is anchored to a date. As future models are trained on data after those dates, they may answer from memory rather than by researching, which would undermine what the benchmark tests. And screening tasks are subjective: two analysts can give different but equally valid answers, and a rubric may favor one framing.
What it shows / What it doesn't
It shows
- How AI agents perform on long-form, expert-graded investment research tasks across the investor workflow.
- That the tools and data pipeline around a model can double its score on the same questions.
- That open-weight models come within a few points of the best closed models at a fraction of the cost.
It doesn't show
- An independent ranking. The publisher's own system tops the table.
- Whether these research reports would lead to good investment decisions. The test grades coverage of expert criteria, not outcomes.
- How stable the ranking is. No confidence intervals are reported, and the judges are AI models from labs that also appear on the board.
- Performance on idea generation good enough to rely on. The best screening score was 33%. Context: n: per-use-case query counts not stated (220 total) · paper Aug 12, 2026 · arXiv:2608.11683 · margin: not disclosed
Why it matters
If you pay for an AI research assistant, this benchmark suggests asking how it retrieves data before asking which model it runs. The same model more than doubled its score with finance-specific tools. And the open-ended tasks traders care about most, screening and sector calls, are where every system tested still misses most of the expert checklist.
Primary sources
- VerifiedFrontierFinance: A Challenging Benchmark for Measuring Frontier Intelligence of Finance Agents (arXiv:2608.11683) (arXiv / Samaya AI)Primary source. Preprint posted August 12, 2026, written by the vendor whose system ranks first. Results table, costs, judges and limitations checked in the HTML version on October 14, 2026.
- LinkedFrontierFinance benchmark page (Samaya AI)Linked from the paper; not re-checked.
In our directories
How we used AI: AI tools helped research and draft this article. Every figure was then checked against the primary sources listed above before publication.
Not financial advice. For information and education only. AI model outputs and research results can be wrong and do not predict future returns. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any asset. See our disclaimer and methodology.